Burn Clock
Now— UV
Peak—
Atlocating…
The science
Erythemal dosimetry, for people who like being outside

How long
until you burn?

Sunburn isn't about time in the sun. It's about dose — how much erythema-weighted UV your particular skin has absorbed. Tell it about your day and it'll do the arithmetic your skin is doing anyway.

The uncomfortable part first: most people apply about a quarter of the sunscreen the SPF on the bottle was measured with, and then leave it on twice as long as it lasts. The chart below draws that gap to scale.

Sky · live UV feed —
Loading today's UV forecast…
The burn clock — cumulative UV dose across your day
A chart of today's UV index with three cumulative dose curves — bare skin, one application of sunscreen, and sunscreen reapplied on schedule — plotted against your sunburn threshold.
Bare skin burns in
—
from the moment you step out
One application
—
apply and forget
Reapplied on schedule
—
every two hours
Dose over the session
—
1.0 = the redness threshold for your skin
—

Set up your day below

Pick your skin's response, where you'll be and for how long. Everything recalculates as you go.

Your skin

Not "what colour are you" — what happens after 30 minutes of strong midday sun with no protection, on skin that hasn't seen sun in months?

Recent sun

Skin that's been getting sun thickens and pigments. It buys real time — just far less than people assume.

Where you'll be

Surfaces bounce UV back up at you, and thin air filters less of it. Both are already in the model.

Roughly +10% UV per 1,000 m. Set automatically when you pick a city.

Your sunscreen

The label number is a laboratory result at 2 mg/cm². What you get is what you actually spread.

How you apply it
Water & sweat
Your session

Times are local to the place you picked, not to your phone.

Sunscreen you'd need
—

A full adult body takes about 30 mL per coat — a shot glass, or roughly seven teaspoons.

Medications — photosensitisers none selected

Some drugs lower the dose at which skin burns, and a few do it dramatically. Tick anything you take and set the dose — it changes the maths above, not just the advice.

What this is doing: it converts UV index to erythemally-weighted irradiance (1 UVI = 25 mW/m²), integrates it across your session, and compares the total to a minimal erythema dose for your skin type — the dose that produces just-visible redness 24 hours later. Sunscreen is modelled as SPF(applied density ÷ 2), which is how the protection factor actually behaves when you under-apply, and its performance is decayed over time rather than held constant. Photosensitising medications lower that threshold by a published-range factor and, where the drug's effect is UVA-driven, shift the dose curve toward a UVA weighting that stays much flatter across the day than the erythemal UV index does. It is a model, not a dosimeter. Real MEDs vary between people of the same Fitzpatrick type by a factor of two or more. Treat the numbers as an argument, not a permission slip.
Photobiology

What the light is doing while you enjoy it

Ultraviolet doesn't burn you the way a stove does. It's a photochemical event: a photon is absorbed by a specific molecule, and that molecule changes shape. When the molecule is your DNA, the change is the problem.

UVB · 280–315 nm

Direct hits on DNA

DNA bases absorb UVB directly. When two pyrimidines sit next to each other on the same strand — TT, TC, CC — the energy can fuse them into a cyclobutane pyrimidine dimer or a 6–4 photoproduct. The helix kinks. Replication machinery stalls or guesses.

The guesses have a fingerprint: C→T and CC→TT substitutions at dipyrimidine sites, found in the majority of skin cancers and almost nowhere else in the body. Pathologists can read sunlight off a tumour's genome.

UVB is only about 5% of the UV reaching the ground, and it does most of the burning.

UVA · 315–400 nm

Oxidative damage, deeper down

UVA is poorly absorbed by DNA but penetrates to the dermis. It works through intermediaries — chromophores that hand energy to oxygen, producing reactive oxygen species. Those oxidise guanine to 8-oxo-guanine, which pairs wrongly, and shred the collagen scaffold via matrix metalloproteinases.

UVA is 95% of ground-level UV, barely varies with season or time of day, and passes straight through window glass. It is the ageing wavelength, and it is not innocent of cancer either.

The part nobody expects

Damage that continues after dark

Melanin was supposed to be purely protective. Then a 2015 study showed that in pigmented cells, UV generates a slow chemical reaction in which melanin fragments transfer energy to DNA hours after exposure ends, creating so-called "dark" pyrimidine dimers in the evening.

Roughly half the CPDs measured in melanocytes formed after the lights went out. The exposure ends when you go inside. The chemistry takes longer to get the message.

Your repair crew is very good, and it is not perfect

Nucleotide excision repair finds distorted DNA, excises a ~30-base patch around the lesion and resynthesises it. Most dimers from a day at the beach are gone within 24 hours. The protein p53 supervises: pause the cell cycle, repair, or — if the damage is overwhelming — order the cell to kill itself.

Those suicides are what a sunburn is made of. The pink is vasodilation summoned by prostaglandins; the "sunburn cells" a pathologist sees are apoptotic keratinocytes. The redness isn't the injury. It's the cleanup. Which is why a dose that doesn't turn you pink is not automatically a dose that did nothing.

People born without working NER — xeroderma pigmentosum — develop their first skin cancers in childhood, at roughly a thousand times the normal rate. It's the clearest possible demonstration that the whole game is repair capacity versus dose rate.

How damage spreads: fields, not spots

When p53 itself is the gene that gets mutated, the cell loses its ability to order its own death — and gains a small growth advantage over its neighbours. It divides. Its descendants divide.

Sequencing of ordinary, healthy-looking sun-exposed skin found thousands of mutant clones per square centimetre, many carrying cancer-driver mutations in p53 and NOTCH1, in people with no skin cancer at all. Middle-aged eyelid skin is already a mosaic of competing pre-cancerous colonies.

This is field cancerization, and it explains a lot of clinical behaviour: why actinic keratoses arrive in crops rather than singly, why treating one lesion doesn't stop the next, and why sun protection is worth starting at any age. You're not preventing one tumour. You're slowing the expansion of a whole field.

Pigment

A tan is a wound response with good PR

Three separate things happen to skin colour after sun. They appear on different timescales — one within minutes, one over days — and only the slowest offers meaningful protection.

What happensWhen it appears, how long it lastsMechanismDoes it protect you?
Immediate pigment darkening Starts within minutes of exposure. Gone within hours. UVA photo-oxidises melanin that's already there and redistributes it. No new pigment is made. Essentially none.
Persistent pigment darkening Builds over hours. Holds for a few days. The same oxidised melanin, hanging around. This is what the Japanese PA rating is measured against. Negligible.
Delayed tanning Takes 3–7 days to peak. Fades over weeks. UVB damages keratinocyte DNA → p53 rises → the cell secretes α-MSH → MC1R on melanocytes → tyrosinase switches on → new eumelanin is packaged and handed to keratinocytes, where it forms little parasols over their nuclei. About SPF 2–3. Plus modest thickening of the stratum corneum.

The base-tan trade is a bad one

To acquire a tan worth roughly SPF 3, you have to absorb the DNA damage that ordered its production. There is no signalling pathway from "melanin, please" that doesn't run through "this cell has been hit." A tan is the receipt for damage already done, and the discount it gives on the next transaction is small.

Tanning beds make this worse, not better: the WHO's cancer agency classifies UV-emitting tanning devices as a Group 1 human carcinogen — the same tier as tobacco and asbestos — and first use before age 35 is associated with a substantially higher lifetime melanoma risk.

Red hair, freckles, and the MC1R problem

Some MC1R variants shift melanocytes toward pheomelanin — the reddish-yellow pigment — instead of the brown-black eumelanin. Pheomelanin absorbs UV poorly and, worse, appears to generate oxidative damage of its own. Mouse work suggests a pheomelanin background raises melanoma risk even with UV excluded entirely.

That's why type I skin isn't just "less tanned type III." It's running different chemistry, and it needs a different plan: shade and fabric first, sunscreen as the layer for what's left uncovered.

What a sunburn actually is, hour by hour

Redness begins 2–6 hours after exposure and peaks at 12–24 hours — which is the whole problem, because the feedback arrives long after you could have acted on it. Prostaglandins and nitric oxide dilate dermal vessels; inflammatory cytokines bring in immune cells; the epidermis is meanwhile disposing of keratinocytes that took unrepairable hits. Peeling, days later, is that disposal reaching the surface. Blistering means the damage went deep enough to separate epidermis from dermis — a superficial partial-thickness burn, in exactly the sense a kitchen accident is.

The epidemiology of blistering burns is unusually consistent. In one large prospective cohort, five or more blistering sunburns between ages 15 and 20 was associated with roughly an 80% increase in melanoma risk and about a 68% increase in basal and squamous cell carcinoma. Childhood and adolescent exposure carries disproportionate weight — which is an argument for hats on small people, not for despair in large ones.

The bottle

SPF, decoded

SPF is a ratio, not a percentage and not a duration: the dose needed to redden protected skin divided by the dose needed to redden the same person's bare skin. It is measured in a lab, on a back, at a film thickness almost nobody reproduces.

Interactive

What you actually get

The SPF on the bottle is measured at 2.0 mg/cm². Studies of real beachgoers cluster between 0.5 and 1.0.

— effective SPF
UV blocked at the label dose—
UV blocked as you applied it—
UV getting through, relative to the label—

Protection scales roughly as SPFd/2, where d is the film thickness in mg/cm². Halving the amount doesn't halve the protection — it takes the square root of it.

Why 30 and 50 are closer than they look — and further than they look

SPFUV blockedUV getting through
1593.3%6.7%
3096.7%3.3%
5098.0%2.0%
10099.0%1.0%

Read the left column and SPF 50 looks like a 1.3-point upgrade on SPF 30. Read the right column and it's letting through 40% less UV. The second reading is the one your DNA is doing. This is also why a higher label number is a useful buffer against under-application rather than an invitation to stay out longer.

SPF says nothing about UVA on its own

SPF is calibrated to erythema, and erythema is mostly a UVB phenomenon. A product could earn SPF 50 while letting through most of the UVA that drives photoageing and contributes to melanoma.

That's what the extra marks are for. In the US, "broad spectrum" means the critical wavelength is at least 370 nm. In the EU, the circled UVA seal means UVA protection is at least one third of the labelled SPF. In much of Asia, PA+ to PA++++ grades persistent pigment darkening. Any one of them is a signal that someone measured the long wavelengths. A bare SPF number is not.

Filters differ too: zinc oxide and titanium dioxide are broad and photostable; avobenzone covers UVA well but degrades in light unless stabilised (octocrylene usually does that job). Several excellent modern filters — Tinosorb, Uvinul A Plus, Mexoryl — are routine in Europe, Japan and Australia and still not approved in the United States, where sunscreens are regulated as over-the-counter drugs.

How much, and how often

Whole body≈30–35 mL per coat — a shot glass, or about seven teaspoons.
Face & neckThe two-finger rule: a strip along the length of your index and middle fingers, ≈1.2 mL.
ReapplyEvery 2 hours, without exception, and immediately after swimming, towelling off, or heavy sweating.
Water resistanceLabelled 40 or 80 minutes. That's the tested limit, not a suggestion — and "waterproof" hasn't been a legal claim since 2012.
TimingApply before you go out, not once you're already in the sun and already accruing dose.

Reapplication isn't topping up a reservoir. The film is being physically removed by sweat, towels, sand and clothing, and some filters degrade photochemically while doing their job. Two hours in, an unrefreshed layer is a fraction of what you put on.

The map of places people miss

Fluorescence photography of people who have just "finished" applying sunscreen reliably shows the same gaps. Most of them are high-incidence sites for skin cancer, which is not a coincidence — they're the places sunlight lands most directly.

earseyelidsthe part in your hairhairline back of the necklipsunder the jawtops of the feet backs of the handsbehind the kneesthe strip under a shifted strap

Eyelids get skipped for obvious reasons and are a common site for basal cell carcinoma; sunglasses that wrap and block UV400 cover them, and also protect the lens and retina from cataract and ocular melanoma risk. Lips need a balm with a filter — lower-lip actinic damage is a genuinely under-recognised precursor lesion.

Sunscreen is the last layer, not the first. Shade, timing, a wide brim and UPF fabric all beat it on reliability, because none of them depends on you having spread 30 mL evenly and remembered to do it again at 1:40 p.m.

Oncology

What it turns into

Three common cancers arise from three different cells in the skin, follow three different exposure patterns, and behave very differently once they do.

Most common cancer in humans

Basal cell carcinoma

Cell of origin: basal keratinocytes and hair-follicle stem cells. Driven overwhelmingly by loss of PTCH1 and runaway Hedgehog signalling — a pathway that should be quiet in adult skin.

Exposure pattern: both chronic accumulation and intense intermittent burns. Head, neck and upper trunk dominate.

Looks like: a pearly or translucent papule with fine surface vessels and a rolled border, sometimes a scab that keeps returning to the same spot for months. Left long enough, it ulcerates — the old term was rodent ulcer.

Behaviour: metastasis is rare, but it invades locally and can be genuinely destructive around the eye, nose and ear. About four in five skin cancers.

Cumulative-dose cancer

Squamous cell carcinoma

Cell of origin: keratinocytes of the upper epidermis, usually via a p53-mutant clone that expanded over decades.

Exposure pattern: total lifetime dose. It's the cancer of outdoor work, of the left forearm and the driving-side cheek, and of bald scalps.

Looks like: a firm, scaly, tender papule or plaque, often with a keratin crust or horn; it may ulcerate. It frequently emerges from an existing actinic keratosis or from squamous cell carcinoma in situ (Bowen's disease).

Behaviour: metastasises in a few percent of cases, more from the lip and ear, from large or poorly differentiated tumours, and dramatically more in organ transplant recipients — whose SCC risk runs 65 to 100 times the general population.

The one that kills

Melanoma

Cell of origin: melanocytes. Common drivers include BRAF V600E, NRAS and loss of CDKN2A; UV-signature mutation burdens are among the highest of any tumour type.

Exposure pattern: intense intermittent exposure and blistering sunburns, especially early in life — a different pattern from the keratinocyte cancers, and the reason melanoma is not simply a disease of outdoor workers.

Looks like: ABCDE, below. But also trust the ugly duckling sign — most of a person's moles resemble each other, so the one that doesn't belong deserves attention regardless of its measurements.

Behaviour: prognosis hinges on Breslow depth, the millimetres of vertical invasion at the moment of excision. Thin melanomas are usually cured by surgery alone. This is the entire argument for looking early and often.

A
Asymmetry

Fold it in half mentally; the halves don't match.

B
Border

Irregular, notched, scalloped or poorly defined edges.

C
Colour

More than one shade — brown, black, red, white, blue-grey.

D
Diameter

Over about 6 mm, though plenty are found smaller.

E
Evolving

Changing size, shape, colour, or newly itching or bleeding. The most important letter.

Rare, aggressive, worth knowing

Merkel cell carcinoma

A neuroendocrine tumour of sun-exposed skin in older and immunosuppressed people, arising either from Merkel cell polyomavirus integration or from very heavy UV mutation load. It grows fast and metastasises early.

The mnemonic is AEIOU: asymptomatic, expanding rapidly, immunosuppression, older than 50, UV-exposed fair skin. A painless, fast-growing red-violet nodule on the head or neck of an older patient is a same-week referral.

An important caveat

Darker skin is lower-risk, not no-risk

Deeply pigmented skin carries a native SPF in the range of 8–14 against erythema, and melanoma incidence is far lower. But outcomes are consistently worse, because diagnosis comes later.

Part of that is a subtype difference: acral lentiginous melanoma — palms, soles, nail beds — occurs at similar absolute rates across ethnic groups and is largely UV-independent, so it makes up a much larger share of melanoma in Black, Asian and Hispanic patients. It hides where nobody is looking and where sun advice doesn't apply.

Practical translation: everyone checks soles, palms, and nail beds. A new pigmented streak in a single nail — especially one that widens or spreads onto the surrounding skin — gets examined, not watched.

The long tail

Everything else the sun does to skin

Cancer is the headline. It isn't the bulk of the caseload.

Actinic keratosis
Rough, gritty, sandpaper-feeling patches on chronically exposed skin — often easier to feel than to see. Each individual lesion progresses to invasive SCC at a low annual rate, but people rarely have one; a field of forty is a meaningful cumulative risk.Precursor · treatable
Actinic cheilitis
The same process on the lower lip: persistent dryness, scaling, blurring of the sharp lip border. Under-recognised, and lip SCC metastasises more readily than SCC elsewhere.Precursor · lower lip
Bowen's disease
Squamous cell carcinoma in situ — a well-demarcated scaly red plaque, often mistaken for eczema or psoriasis for years because it doesn't itch and doesn't respond to steroid creams.Carcinoma in situ
Photoageing (dermatoheliosis)
Solar elastosis: UVA-driven MMPs degrade collagen and elastin, which are replaced by disorganised elastotic material. Deep furrows, leathery texture, yellowing, dilated vessels, mottled pigment. A 2012 case report of a truck driver with 28 years of window-side sun made the point better than any statistic — one half of a face aged decades ahead of the other.The majority of visible facial ageing
Solar lentigines
"Age spots" — flat, sharply bordered brown macules from focal melanocyte proliferation. Cosmetically unwelcome, clinically benign, but a reliable marker of cumulative dose. Distinguish from lentigo maligna, which is not benign at all.Benign · dose marker
Polymorphous light eruption
The most common photodermatosis, and what most people mean by "sun allergy": itchy papules or plaques on newly exposed skin hours to days after the first strong sun of spring, settling over the season as the skin hardens. Immunological, not toxic.Photodermatosis · common
Solar urticaria & chronic actinic dermatitis
Rarer and more disabling. Solar urticaria raises hives within minutes of exposure; chronic actinic dermatitis is a persistent eczematous reaction to visible as well as ultraviolet light, sometimes severe enough to confine people indoors.Photodermatosis · rare
Drug photosensitivity
Phototoxic reactions look like an exaggerated sunburn in exposed areas and can occur on first exposure. Frequent culprits: doxycycline and other tetracyclines, hydrochlorothiazide (also linked to raised SCC risk with long-term use), amiodarone, voriconazole, piroxicam and some NSAIDs, St John's wort, retinoids. Worth a look at the medication list before a beach holiday — the calculator above will take your specific drugs and doses and redraw the day around them.Check the list
Phytophotodermatitis
Furocoumarins from limes, celery, figs, parsnip and giant hogweed on skin, plus UVA, equals a burn in the shape of whatever touched you. The classic presentation is bizarre streaks and drip marks after an afternoon of making drinks outdoors, sometimes leaving pigment for months.Also known as margarita burn
Eyes
Photokeratitis is a sunburn of the cornea — snow blindness, arriving painfully 6–12 hours later. Chronically, UV contributes to pterygium, cortical cataract and ocular melanoma. UV400 lenses, ideally wraparound; a broad brim adds roughly half again.UV400 · wraparound
Immune suppression
UV doesn't just mutate cells, it suppresses the local immune surveillance that would otherwise clear them — via Langerhans cell depletion and regulatory T-cell induction. It's a two-hit trick: create the mutant, then disable the response. It's also why sun reliably triggers recurrent herpes labialis.Mechanistically underrated
Xeroderma pigmentosum
Inherited failure of nucleotide excision repair. Extreme photosensitivity, freckling in infancy, and a roughly 1,000-fold increase in skin cancer with a median first diagnosis before age 10. Rare, devastating, and the cleanest natural experiment there is on what repair capacity is worth.The proof of mechanism

Three things people get wrong about when they're safe

Cloud. Thin or broken cloud transmits most UV, and scattering off cloud edges can briefly push ground-level UV above the clear-sky value. Cool is not the same as safe — the sensation of heat comes from infrared, which cloud and wind do attenuate. UV isn't warm, and your skin can't feel it arriving.

Glass. Standard window glass stops nearly all UVB and passes a large fraction of UVA. That's excellent for avoiding sunburn at your desk and useless for avoiding photoageing and UVA-driven damage. Laminated windscreens block more than side windows, which is why the damage in drivers is so consistently asymmetric.

Reflection and altitude. Fresh snow bounces up to 80% of incident UV back at you — the reason alpine burns land under the chin and inside the nostrils. Dry sand returns around 15%, sea foam about 25%, open water roughly 10% at the surface while transmitting 40% of UV to half a metre deep. And UV rises about 10% per 1,000 metres of elevation. Ski touring at altitude in spring is close to the worst-case stack of all four.

The vitamin D question, answered honestly

The trade-off is real but much smaller than it's usually made to sound. Cutaneous vitamin D synthesis saturates quickly — well before erythema — so brief incidental exposure to small skin areas does most of the available work, and doses beyond that add damage without adding much D. Field studies of regular sunscreen users, including the randomised Australian trial below, have not found meaningful reductions in vitamin D status, largely because real-world application is thin enough to leave plenty of room.

If your level is low, the fix is a supplement, which is cheap, precise and carcinogen-free. Deliberate burning is a remarkably inefficient way to obtain a nutrient available in a tablet.

One tip, re-examined

The advice held up
better than the beat

In 1997 a Chicago Tribune columnist named Mary Schmich wrote a mock commencement address for a graduating class she was never going to meet. It escaped onto the early internet, was widely forwarded as a speech Kurt Vonnegut had supposedly given at MIT — he hadn't, and said so — and in 1999 Baz Luhrmann set it over a sample of a Rozalla dance track and put it in the charts.

Of the several dozen pieces of advice in it, exactly one is falsifiable. The essay opens by conceding that the rest has no basis more reliable than the author's own experience, and then stakes its single confident claim on sunscreen.

That claim has aged extremely well. In the same year the record came out, the Nambour trial in subtropical Queensland was reporting the first randomised evidence that daily sunscreen use reduces squamous cell carcinoma. Follow-up published a decade later found the daily-sunscreen group had roughly half the invasive melanoma incidence of the discretionary-use group, and a separate arm found measurably less photoageing after four and a half years. A columnist's hunch turned out to be one of the better-supported preventive recommendations in medicine — which almost never happens, and is worth enjoying when it does.

So: in the spirit of the thing, and with the same disclaimer about the basis for advice, here is the version this page would give a room full of people about to spend the next sixty summers outdoors.